I
read with great interest Jeff Collin’s column entitled - Will Online
IBuyers Upend Home Sales? If you missed the column - shame on you! But,
allow me to provide you the abridged version. Currently, there is a trend in
residential sales wherein on-line buyers purchase your house quickly and you
avoid the hassle of the marketing steps - choosing an agent, pre-sale prep,
repairs, staging, showing, negotiating and closing.
Akin
to CarMax - you receive an offer on your house - with fees, closing costs, and
repair concessions baked in. If you say yes - the deal is done without you ever
having to V-dent a sofa pillow. Easy. So what’s the catch? Just this. IBuyers
rely upon a motivation which eclipses most sellers. Simply - you MUST sell and
can’t wait for the normal sales process to unfold. Remember - the IBuyer isn’t
planning to live in your house. They’ll buy it, fix it and flip it to someone
who will. Therefore, you walk away with less than a conventional arrangement.
How much less? It depends on the condition of your house - repair offset plus
the larger fees associated with an IBuyer.
So
what’s this to do with commercial real estate? I pondered this question and my
thoughts are outlined below.
Do commercial IBuyers exist currently. The short
answer is no. Buyers of commercial real estate typically fall into two broad
categories - occupants and investors. The difference? Occupants buy to house their
business. Investors rely upon the rents paid by the tenants in the building.
Residential IBuyers are investors with no desire to lease the house. Their play
is to acquire it, prepare it for sale, and sell the home to a resident. Could
such a strategy be employed commercially? Sure. Some value-add investors
operate this way. But the price delta is enormous. Most commercial real estate
sellers - when shown the amount a value-add investor will pay compared to an
owner occupant - will opt for the latter.
Can commercial real estate be standardized. Another
challenge confronting commercial IBuyers? No two commercial buildings are
identical. You may say - gee, neither are there synonymous houses. However,
tracts of cookie cutter domiciles dot our poppy filled hills. Very few
differences exist within plan models sans owner changes. Not so with commercial
real estate. So the challenge becomes just how to value a commercial offering.
Layer in some special features such as upgraded offices, a fenced outdoor yard,
or special power feed - and the challenge continues. Considered next would be
the out sale price or expected lease rate less the cost to originate the lease
- fees, concessions, down-time, etc. Kinda complex.
Will we see IBuyers. We’ve certainly encountered on-line
selling platforms. What started as a way to liquidate distressed lender owned
buildings under the umbrella Auction.com has
morphed into Ten-X which relies upon one of three ways to create buyer pools
for commercial assets - traditional auction, managed bid or offer select. I’ve
used Ten-X successfully. With certain commercial offerings - it works quite
well. But the lack of lender owned portfolios of problem properties has slowed
their volume. Another drawback? The large buyer load - in addition to the fees
paid by the seller to his broker. It’s quite expensive.
The takeaway. Yes. We will see IBuyers. When?
Hard to say. Our industry is too huge and spans over 55,000,000 commercial
properties nationwide. That’s an awful lot of semolians! Some well-heeled tech
savvy group will figure it out and disrupt the commercial buying process. Just
look at the way in which CoStar upended commercial real estate research and
inventory. Stay tuned.
Allen
C. Buchanan, SIOR, is
a principal with Lee & Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in
Orange. He can be reached at abuchanan@lee-associates.com
or 714.564.7104. His website is allencbuchanan.com.
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