Friday, May 17, 2019

Is a Commercial Building Worth More Vacant or Leased?

As we’ve discussed - commercial real estate is owned by those who occupy it with a business or investors who rely upon the rent the property produces. Therefore - a slice of commercial real estate is valued according to its utility - in the instance of an occupant or to an investor - in its ability to produce income. Occasionally the lines cross - which I will cover in the last section.

Utility varies. Think about it this way. If you’re a company that tools aerospace parts - the electricity feeding a property is critical because you use it in your operation. Without the amperage - the parcel is worthless to you. A logistics company that stacks products in a warehouse relies upon the number of truck doors and inside ceiling height. Therefore - utility is found in a property with such upgrades. An easy way to consider utility? Generally, an occupant considering a selection of buildings will place a greater emphasis on utility or use in its decision. Said occupant is willing to pay more if the commercial real estate has the features he seeks.

Income production. Rent. How much? How certain? How long? Easy. Let’s assume a building has market rents and is leased to a Fortune 500 tenant for ten years. So, there is very little risk. The valuation is simple - an investor will buy the income stream for a price. His price? Easy math. Annual rent divided by his desired return - also knows as a capitalization or “cap” rate. Thus, an annual lease payment of $12.00 at a 6% return yields a value of $200 per square foot. Consequently - your 20,000 square foot building is worth $4,000,000.

If a building is vacant - is it of no value to an investor? If he is smart - certainly not! However, the analysis is more complex and the stars must align for the resulting price he can pay to compare to an occupant purchase. Here’s the way it works. Since an investor relies upon the income - rents - a property produces, he must calculate what those rents will be, how long it will take to achieve them, and at what cost. We refer to this as lease origination expense. If he’s looking at a vacant building and the seller wants $200 per square foot - the investor must factor in the origination expense. If an investor can pay the $200, absorb the origination expense, and still get his return - golden!

If a property is leased - is it worthless to an occupant? It depends. Keep in mind - an occupant looks at utility. And he must be able to occupy the building. So, if the PERFECT site - with all the bells and whistles - is available but leased for awhile - it might still work. Here is how. We recently represented a buyer. Obligated for two years in a lease - they wanted to pursue a purchase for their next move. So, if we located a building for sale with a short term lease in place - that was beneficial. We did! Plus. Because the lease on the building we bought was short term - the buyer got a better price. Because - most investors were turned off by the impending lease expiration and most occupants couldn’t wait two years to move. Boom!

When do the lines cross. We are seeing a fair number of investors buying vacant buildings these days. Recently - a high percentage of the structures in a new development in north Orange County were sold to investors - vacant! Their motivation? Money needed to be spent. Capital had to be deployed. It was costlier to wait than to buy vacant and incur the origination expense. A similar trend is occurring inland where new logistics boxes are trading without tenants in place. The reason? More occupants are seeking leases vs purchases. As an investor - if you can buy the right utility - your origination costs are reduced, you create the income, and the world is a happy place.


Friday, May 3, 2019

Negotiations are Stuck! Now What? _ Suggestions

Commercial real estate transactions require negotiation. Duh! But, candidly, the back and forth is my least favorite part of a deal. Many consider the volleying a sport - one that must be won or lost. Skillful negotiators realize - in order for there to be a successful outcome - both parties must win. I’ve witnessed sellers - down to their dying breath - decide they’d rather give the building back to the bank vs conclude a transaction with an over zealous buyer. 

Conversely - I’ve seen buyers - whose business growth depends upon buying a building walk away due to a minute tweak in the terms. The worst - however - is a stand-off. Akin to heads-of-state squared up in an intense disagreement - the mantra of “he who first blinks loses” is repeated. As commercial real estate professionals - we find ourselves between the warring factions - struggling to find common ground.

If your negotiations are mired - what can be done? Below are _ suggestions.

Why are you at an impasse. Price? Terms - such as the length of escrow or deposit structure? Maybe your issue is more esoteric - your seller has the impression the buyer can’t perform and therefore is holding firm. If the conversations have been many rounds - sometimes a party gets weary - enough already! Regardless - the solution is often contained in the reason for the roadblock.

What’s at stake. The owner I referenced above had to sell or the bank was going to foreclose. However, he had to salvage something - even if it was his dignity. Buyers came along sensing a fire sale! What the buyers failed to recognize? At a point - the seller would simply fold and allow the lender to take the premises - consequences be damned. Just when you believe a seller has no room to maneuver - in fact he does. Never underestimate a desperate seller.

What are your alternatives. Too often a buyer will confuse his operational goals with his purchase criteria. Early in the process - gain an understanding of the buyer’s motivation for the purchase. If the buy will allow him to hire more folks, generate more sales, carry more inventory, accommodate new machinery, or manufacture a new line of products - there is an economic motivation. If negotiations reach a standstill - we review the benefit and downside. Sometimes that difference in price becomes moot in light of the increase in business revenue - or loss if he doesn’t move forward.

Are there non-monetary solutions. Occasionally, parties will agree on price but stall for other reasons. Most common would be a closing date. You see, some sellers benefit from a quick conclusion while others would prefer to postpone the final bell. Sometimes a buyer requires a bit more time to process a loan or bridge a lease obligation. So hypothetically - a seller wants finality in 60 days but the buyer is adamant about 90. Maybe the buyer can beef up his deposit in return for the extra 30 days.

Time to say good bye. Once in a while - the best deal is the one you DON’T make. I’ve found if transactions are meant to be - motivations are aligned and transparent negotiations take place - a rhythm evolves between the parties. It’s a beautiful thing! However, if you find yourself working diligently to resolve minutiae - maybe the stars won’t align. Time to crank up that search for another building.

Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee & Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His website is allencbuchanan.com.