CARTs. An acronym which stands
for Challenge, Action, Result, and Testimonial. Our team uses these “case
studies” to tell a transaction story through the lens of these four filters.
The cool thing is CARTs have no shelf life and can be used many times as the situation
dictates. One thing my over 38 years in the commercial real estate business has
taught me is every deal is unique but many have similarities. However, we use
CARTs looking through the rear view mirror after the close. As I pondered the
information conveyed - I wondered why we don’t us them before a transaction
occurs. After all, the information contained can be helpful to anyone with a
desire to sell or lease - regardless which side they occupy. Allow me to
demonstrate how this might work.
Let’s say you’d like to sell a building you occupy
but stay put after the sale. We refer to this as a sale leaseback. Easy enough,
right. But now, let’s dig into the four areas to
engineer the kind of result you’re seeking.
Challenge. Here you want to
think about issues such as your ownership structure. Is the real estate owned
solely by you or are other stakeholders or shareholders involved which may have
a different view of the world. Many times parties may be juxtaposed depending
on their station in life and direction they’d like to head in the future. How
much, if any, money is owed against the property? How does the physical plant
of the building compare to others in your size range in the marketplace? How
about things such as percentage of office, truck loading doors, warehouse clear
height, fenced yard or staging area, and available parking spaces. All of these
physical aspects will affect the value of your real estate. If you own the
building as a limited liability company and lease the building to an operating
corporation, you may be paying yourself a rent which is not commensurate with
market. As we’ve seen many times recently, this amount might be dramatically
less than what the market rent would generate. Consequently, any investor
willing to purchase the building would base his price upon the rent he will
receive. Finally, really be candid with yourself as to what you will do with
the proceeds. As we’ve discussed in this space numerous times, if you are not
planning to defer the taxes via a 1031 tax deferred exchange, there will be a
significant tax bill to pay – approximately 20% for long term capital gains,
25% for depreciation recapture, 13.2% for the state of California, and 3.8% to
the affordable care act. As you can see - almost half of your gain would be
wiped out by taxes if you don’t defer the gain. In situations where you have
multiple shareholders, this can get a bit cumbersome, especially if there is a
disagreement.
Action. In the action phase,
we will consider exactly what steps will need to be taken in order to achieve
the results that you seek. As an example, let’s say your plan is to defer any
gain received from the sale yet you have shareholders with differing opinions.
It might be wise to break up the limited liability company into a tenants in
common structure - whereby upon sale - the individual tenants may go their
separate ways. Your property may contain some deferred maintenance that needs
to be addressed prior to marketing the building for sale. Finally, you may need
to examine the lease under which you will operate once the transaction closes.
We assume here that you’ll engage a commercial real estate professional to
assist you in marketing the building. Don’t get too tangled up with exactly how
your action will be accomplished - as a part of this will be directed toward
your brokerage professionals. However, having an idea how you’d like the action
to unfold is critically important.
Result. Here, you get to close
your eyes and imagine the perfect result. You sell your building for top dollar
to a qualified purchaser, in the least amount of time possible, with very
favorable lease back terms and conditions, and with very little oversight on
your part.
Testimonial. Certainly, after
the task is accomplished, you’ll have some things to say about how the plan
unfolded, the challenges overcome, the results that were maximized and positive
actions taken by yourself and your professionals.
Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee &
Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached
at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His
website is allencbuchanan.blogspot.com.
Friday, January 27, 2023
CARTs
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Friday, January 20, 2023
2023 Predictions
Yes.
I’m feeling the pressure - as last week proved I was quite prescient in my
prognostications for 2022. My crystal ball was in fact clear. Good thing it
dropped before 9:30 this year as I was snug in bed by then. But I digress. So
akin to those holiday goodies you gorged and now have resolved to avoid - here
is yet another prediction column for commercial real estate.
Industrial
real estate. Third
party logistics providers will give back space. If you’re unfamiliar with the
term - 3PL or third party logistics provider - allow me to explain. Simply, a
3PL is an outsourced warehousing service. Say you’re a company that needs to
get your product distributed to Walmart but don’t have the space or inclination
to do so yourself. Enter the 3PL who will charge you - by the pallet - to
receive, store, re-package, and ship your goods for you. For the past three
years - to keep up with the demand of online shopping - 3PLs thrived and leased
hundreds of thousands of square feet of logistics boxes. With the
“de-inventorying” currently occurring, these providers need fewer square feet.
But there’s an issue as many signed term leases which still have time to go.
Therefore look for much of this excess to enter the market as sublease space.
Recession? I vote no. How’s that for
contrarian thinking! Here’s how I read the tea leaves. The Fed came out with
guns blazing last year with three .75% and one .5% rate bumps. As we’ve
discussed, this increase affects the rate in which banks borrow. The theory is
more expensive money will cool a white hot economy as businesses will re-think
borrowing for expansion. If you look at Gross Domestic Product or GDP for the
third quarter of 2022 - it actually increased over Q2. By the time you read
this, we’ll have a glimpse as to how the fourth quarter fared. Now couple that
with core inflation which has declined for several months. Finally, retailers
are shedding inventory as mentioned above. In fact this is deflationary as
things are on sale. Now some might counter by opining - we’ve not felt the full
impact of the Fed rate increases, folks are spending that idle cash left over
from the pandemic, and massive layoffs await. We’ll see. I choose to believe in
the resiliency in the US economy. Plus. Did you visit a mall, restaurant, or
attempt to book a flight during the holidays? Bedlam!
Return
to the office. Much
has been written on this subject. We’re starting the third year since all of us
were forced to return to our spare bedrooms. Remember that fateful day in March
of 2020? Like yesterday! Fortunately, our team had spent the previous few
months figuring out how to duplicate our desktop mobily. Did we have insider
scoop? No. We just wanted the flexibility to do stuff in a client’s lobby, our
dining room, or the front seat of our car without losing productivity. We were
lucky. When the order came - we simply unplugged, drove twenty minutes home and
plugged back in. Many were not so lucky and found themselves grappling with how
to remain viable. Others simply ordered a bunch online and ate alot. I heard
this from a friend. 😎I predict workforces will
return to the office this year. Sure, a hybrid model will be employed where -
as an example - Tuesday-Thursday will be office days and Mondays and Fridays
will be optional work from home.
Retail. A continuation of the
experiences that brought us back to brick and mortar stores in 2022 will
continue. As examples. On a recent visit to Main Place, we were serenaded by
era dressed carolers, and our grandsons thrust into a cube of stuffed animals
as human claw machines. I’ve never seen the place so packed! My wife and I
commented - what recession? Sans these experiences, however, I’m afraid the
on-line shopping is easier. What’s avoided are out-of-stocks, surly clerks,
crowds, and no parking. Speaking of Main Place. Our favorite parking spaces are
now consumed with a multi family building which is under construction.
Providing your own customer base and foot traffic - once the units are fully
occupied - is always a great idea. But how cities choose to eliminate tax basis
while at the same time increasing police and fire service remains the
tug-of-war.
Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee &
Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached
at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His
website is allencbuchanan.blogspot.com.
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Friday, January 13, 2023
2022 prediction recap
Happy New Year dear readers! 2023. Wow. A full three
years since the pandemic’s outset. Who believed Covid 19 - and it’s variants
would still be in our collective conversations in 2023. Not seeing many hands
raised - you, like I couldn’t fathom it’s offspring would still be wreaking
havoc. Yet it’s one of the three amigos - along with the regular flu and RSV -
causing the hacking. Well. On to some happier conversations - my commercial
real estate predictions from 2022.
Here were my words this time last year.
Industrial rents. They’ll
increase. Next bullet point. However, I’ve a few more words, so stay with me.
We track Class A inventory for an upcoming assignment. What’s that, you may
ask? We describe Class A inventory as buildings constructed since 2000. In this
way we are able to weed out functionally obsolete structures that may exist in
the market. In Orange County, there are eight new developments proposed or
under construction totaling over 2,700,000. A staggering number until you
factor in what’s available today. Ummm. That would be one. That’s correct! One
available. Demand is still strong so nowhere for rents to go but up. 2023 Update. Nailed it.
Developer appetite. With industrial rents increasing, interest rates still low - that will change this year - plentiful capital seeking a place to reside, and an acute shortage of land from which to produce concrete caverns - a conundrum continues. An industrial development at your neighborhood Sear’s store? A campus built for industries who’ve left the area? All will be targets this year. 2023 update. Quite prescient was I.
The office. No, not the series - the market. Recently, I read this with interest in these pages - “A new report from Ladders, a career site for high-paying jobs, says things will likely stay that way. In fact, Ladders predicts that 25% of all professional jobs that pay $80,000 or more will be remote by the end of 2022.” Wow! My suspicion is it will be greater than that. Anecdotally, take our office as an example. We own a 21,700 square foot, two story location. We occupy the upstairs and a portion of the down for about 13,000 square feet. When locked and loaded - 49-52 folks commuted in each day. Now? Probably half regularly attend. My team works remotely as do others. Adjusting to this change will be smaller footprints and more multi-use spaces. 2023 Update. This story is still unfolding. But, we appear to be headed toward a permanent hybridcy.
Retail slowdown? We all know that, big fella. How’s that a prediction? Actually, what slowed during our two year pandemic fueled sabbatical were trips to the store. Retail sales actually increased as we bought tons of stuff from our home keyboards. But, one of our clients, corporately based in NYC, is a tremendous gauge on the brick and mortar retail business. By that I mean, destinations such as Wal-Mart, Costco, Burlington, and the like. He’s sensed a REAL dip and predicts more to come. So we’ll see. 2023 Update. Yes! Most large retailers are de-inventorying.
Stagflation. What on Earth is that? According to Wikipedia -“In economics, stagflation or recession-inflation is a situation in which the inflation rate is high, the economic growth rate slows, and unemployment remains steadily high. It presents a dilemma for economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment.” Hmmm. Inflation rates, high - check. Economic growth slowing - check. Unemployment high - check. By the way, you may be thinking - I thought unemployment was low, currently. Actually, the percent of the workforce NOT working is high. The statistics reported are only those who’ve filed claims - quite misleading. 2023 Update. We heard this mentioned a bit but not to the extent I believed. Inflation increases are slowing, employment is strong along with wage growth, and economic growth is also returning. I’d rate this prediction a miss.
Four out of five ain’t - sorry Miss Penney, my 7th
grade English teacher - bad!
Next week, I’ll strike out with some bold 2023
predictions.
Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee &
Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached
at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His
website is allencbuchanan.blogspot.com.
Developer appetite. With industrial rents increasing, interest rates still low - that will change this year - plentiful capital seeking a place to reside, and an acute shortage of land from which to produce concrete caverns - a conundrum continues. An industrial development at your neighborhood Sear’s store? A campus built for industries who’ve left the area? All will be targets this year. 2023 update. Quite prescient was I.
The office. No, not the series - the market. Recently, I read this with interest in these pages - “A new report from Ladders, a career site for high-paying jobs, says things will likely stay that way. In fact, Ladders predicts that 25% of all professional jobs that pay $80,000 or more will be remote by the end of 2022.” Wow! My suspicion is it will be greater than that. Anecdotally, take our office as an example. We own a 21,700 square foot, two story location. We occupy the upstairs and a portion of the down for about 13,000 square feet. When locked and loaded - 49-52 folks commuted in each day. Now? Probably half regularly attend. My team works remotely as do others. Adjusting to this change will be smaller footprints and more multi-use spaces. 2023 Update. This story is still unfolding. But, we appear to be headed toward a permanent hybridcy.
Retail slowdown? We all know that, big fella. How’s that a prediction? Actually, what slowed during our two year pandemic fueled sabbatical were trips to the store. Retail sales actually increased as we bought tons of stuff from our home keyboards. But, one of our clients, corporately based in NYC, is a tremendous gauge on the brick and mortar retail business. By that I mean, destinations such as Wal-Mart, Costco, Burlington, and the like. He’s sensed a REAL dip and predicts more to come. So we’ll see. 2023 Update. Yes! Most large retailers are de-inventorying.
Stagflation. What on Earth is that? According to Wikipedia -“In economics, stagflation or recession-inflation is a situation in which the inflation rate is high, the economic growth rate slows, and unemployment remains steadily high. It presents a dilemma for economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment.” Hmmm. Inflation rates, high - check. Economic growth slowing - check. Unemployment high - check. By the way, you may be thinking - I thought unemployment was low, currently. Actually, the percent of the workforce NOT working is high. The statistics reported are only those who’ve filed claims - quite misleading. 2023 Update. We heard this mentioned a bit but not to the extent I believed. Inflation increases are slowing, employment is strong along with wage growth, and economic growth is also returning. I’d rate this prediction a miss.
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Friday, January 6, 2023
Merry Christmas
You’re likely reading this in your slippers and
bathrobe surrounded by excited kiddos. After all, it’s Christmas! From our
family to yours, may this season of giving be your best yet!
It’s also Sunday - which caused me to ponder the
last time the blessed day fell on this day - so I researched it. According to
an answer by Jack Wallace in Quora: “If it were not for Leap Years, it
(Christmas) would fall on Sunday once every 7 years. But because of Leap Year,
it follows a general pattern of years: 6–5–6–11 (just like every other date but
Leap Day). The first Sunday Christmas this century was in 2005 (and the last
one before that was 11 years earlier in 1994). Christmas fell/falls on Sunday these
years: 2005, 2011, 2016, 2022, 2033, 2039, 2044, 2050, 2061, and so on … until
the lack of a leap year in 2100 messes up the cycle, producing Sunday Christmas
in 2101, and then the pattern of 6–5–6–11 resumes again until (again) the lack
of a leap year in 2200 interrupts the pattern.”
Ok. Great. But how does that relate to commercial
real estate? Indulge me, dear elves and I’ll be your Santa Claus - except the
coming down the chimney part.
2005. George W. Bush was
inaugurated to a second term as President, the Kyoto Accord was forged and
Michael Jackson was convicted. Katrina rocked the Gulf Coast as a Category 4
Hurricane and destroyed parts of New Orleans and beyond. Industrial land in
north Orange County traded for around $14 psf, rents were in the $.40 NNN range
and sales prices were in the mid $90s. Four years hence from the dot com bubble
- industrial demand was active and investor appetites strong. Little did we
know a parapice was approaching which would derail our commercial real estate
market in 2008.
2011. Arizona congresswoman Gabriel “Gabby” Gifford was
gunned down while campaigning at a shopping mall in Tucson. She would survive.
Not so for Muammar Gaddafi in Libya or Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan. Nuclear
disaster was averted in Japan and the commercial real estate market was
awakening from the ether of 2009-2010. Akin to Rip van Winkle, our industrial
activity roared back to life and prices started to regain the losses incurred
in the tough days. I’ll always remember an acquisition’s rep for Rexford told
me - “we’ll look back on these days as the buying opportunity of our
lifetimes.” And they and many others did!
2016. We elected a real estate
developer to the office of President and recreational cannabis was legalized in
California. An no, the latter didn’t precede the former. They happened during
the same election. Industrial real estate started its historic march up the
Everest of pricing - which would summit in June of 2022. Vacancies crashed
below 2% as occupants scrambled to grab space and investors clamored to acquire
it. Fueled by Eisenhower era interest rates and insatiable demand - values on
commercial assets had no where to go but up.
2022. We’ve not closed the
year and sung Auld Lang Syne but it’s safe to review - recovering from a
pandemic, eye popping values, then a Russian invasion, Carter era inflation,
interest rates headed up with more to go and residential values hitting the
skids were all experienced this year.
What’s in store for 23? Next week I’ll review my
predictions from this year and chart a few for next - so tune in.
Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee &
Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached
at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His
website is allencbuchanan.blogspot.com.
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Friday, December 30, 2022
Transfer Taxes
We sold two buildings last month in Los Angeles
county - Chatsworth to be exact. The deal was lengthy - spanning the horrors of
the changing finance market and Jerome Powell’s ratcheting up of bank borrowing rates. But alas,
we got it done, satisfied the buyer’s 1031 exchange, and provided the seller a
long term lease from which to operate his business.
Chatsworth, as well as most of the San Fernando
Valley cities is considered the city of Los Angeles. For context, imagine if
all North Orange County cities of Anaheim, Buena Park, Orange, Placentia, Brea,
La Habra and Fullerton weren’t sovereign and were under the purview of say
Santa Ana? Yeah. That’s the situation. Consequently, Los Angeles wields
tremendous clout when determining taxation - especially in the transfer of real
property.
One line item in our estimated closing statement
caused the county recorder to pull our file. It seemed the transfer tax was
improperly computed - or so they thought. When our able title officer pointed
out the correct calculation - which appeared on the deed - the county
capitulated and allowed the recording. Never, had I spent so much time
understanding how such taxes are determined. My education, I believed was
column worthy. But recently, another development in Los Angeles known as
Measure ULA or the “mansion tax” - which was passed by voters - encouraged a
deeper dive. So here we go.
From the website
https://www.deedclaim.com/california/documentary-transfer-taxes/
- a wonderful resource, BTW - “California’s
Documentary Transfer Tax Act allows counties and cities to collect tax on
documents that transfer real estate. The Documentary Transfer Tax Act is
broadly worded, imposing a tax on:
each deed, instrument, or writing by which any
lands, tenements, or other realty sold within the county shall be granted,
assigned, transferred, or otherwise conveyed to, or vested in, the purchaser or
purchasers, or any other person or persons, by his or their direction, when the
consideration or value of the interest or property conveyed (exclusive of the
value of any lien or encumbrance remaining thereon at the time of sale) exceeds
one hundred dollars …” In reading further, “this language
covers almost every interest in property that can be created or transferred
under California law. It includes:
· Outright property transfers;
· Tenancy in common interest;
· Joint tenancy interests;
· Community property interests;
· Life estates and remainder interests;
· Long-term leases;
· Non-temporary easements;
· Mobile homes installed on permanent foundations.
A transfer of any of these interests is subject to documentary transfer taxes. The documentary transfer tax is due even if the instrument is not recorded in the county real estate records. The creation and delivery of the deed causes the documentary transfer tax to become due.”
Most counties in California impose a transfer tax
equal to $1.10 per thousand dollars of value. In addition to the county rate,
cities may impose additional documentary transfer taxes. From www.deedclaim.com
“The amount that the city may impose depends on
whether the city is a charter city or a general law city. A charter city is a
city in which the governing system is defined by the city’s own charter instead
of by California law. Charter cities have supreme authority over their
municipal affairs and have broad leeway to impose their own tax rates. Many of
California’s 121 charter cities have enacted their own tax rates. Cities that
are not charter cities are known as general law cities. General law cities may
impose a transfer tax equal to one-half of the rate imposed by the county. When
the city imposes a tax, the county transfer tax is reduced by the amount of the
city’s transfer tax so that the amount that the taxpayer pays remains at 55
cents per $500 of property value or consideration.
The website below gives you a breakdown of all the
counties and cities in California, which are charter and general law, and the
respective transfer taxes. But to save you some reading - Anaheim, Buena Park,
Cypress, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Los Alamitos, Newport Beach, Placentia,
Santa Ana and Seal Beach are charter cities. The balance of OC is general law.
http://www.californiacityfinance.com/PropTransfTaxRates.pdf
Now to Measure ULA which recently passed in Los
Angeles city. From www.gibsondunn.com “Measure ULA, commonly known as the
“mansion tax,” would impose a new “Homelessness and Housing Solutions Tax” on
transfers of residential and commercial real property in the city of Los
Angeles valued in excess of $5 million.[1] The revenue raised by the new
tax, expected to be between $600 million and $1.1 billion annually,
is intended to be used to fund affordable housing and tenant assistance
programs. As of the date of this Client Alert, the measure is ahead in
the latest vote count. Under the measure, sales of residential and commercial
real property valued at over $5 million but less than $10 million would be
subject to an additional tax at the rate of 4%, while sales of properties
valued at $10 million or more would be subject to an additional tax at the
rate of 5.5%. The new tax would apply to the entirety of the sale value,
not solely the amount in excess of the $5 million and $10 million
thresholds, and regardless of whether the property is sold at a gain or a
loss. The thresholds would be adjusted each year based on
inflation. The tax would apply to property sales occurring on or after
April 1, 2023. The new tax would be in addition to the existing documentary
transfer tax imposed on property sales in the city of Los Angeles, which is
imposed at a combined city and county rate of 0.56%.”
So what does all of this mean? Selling a property
greater than $5,000,000. in Los Angeles just got a lot more expensive. A
$10,000,000 property used to cost $56,000 to transfer. Starting April 1, 2023
that same $10,000,000 transfer will be taxed at $606,000 - more than a ten fold
increases. And by the way, a $5,000,000 residence is a big deal. A commercial
deal in LA will trigger the tax on a very small square footage - affecting many
occupants who own their building and choose to sell. But so what? We’re in the
OC. Just this. Will unfunded pension liabilities straining city budgets cause
city governments to search for revenues to bridge the gap? 10 of the 34 cities
within Orange County have charters that allow such an increase in transfer
taxes - with voter approval. We will see.
Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee &
Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached
at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His
website is allencbuchanan.blogspot.com.
· Outright property transfers;
· Tenancy in common interest;
· Joint tenancy interests;
· Community property interests;
· Life estates and remainder interests;
· Long-term leases;
· Non-temporary easements;
· Mobile homes installed on permanent foundations.
A transfer of any of these interests is subject to documentary transfer taxes. The documentary transfer tax is due even if the instrument is not recorded in the county real estate records. The creation and delivery of the deed causes the documentary transfer tax to become due.”
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Friday, December 23, 2022
Random Commercial Real Estate Thoughts
Occasionally
it’s good to purge my inbox and my mind. After a week in the place of my birth
- Texarkana, Arkansas - there’s much to unpack - literally and figuratively.
So, allow me to unload a few items swirling in my consciousness.
Thanks to all who commented. The
outpouring of love and kindness resulting from my column last week - 6 Lessons
my Mom Taught me About Commercial Real Estate - was amazing! Thank you to each
of you who took your time to read the column and send me a note.
28th Annual AIR CRE Fall Market Trends. The
Association of Industrial Real Estate met in November for a discussion of
what’s happened in 2022 and what we can expect in 2023. On the dais were Jaclyn
Ward of JLL, Kelly Johnson of Colliers, Michael DiBernardo of the Ports of Los
Angeles, and Gerald Singh of Oltman’s Construction. Moderating the discussion
was James Breeze of CBRE. As panels go, this was very well done, rehearsed and
filled with information.
I
found particular value from Jaclyn’s description of the state of office leasing
- given the uncertainty that mires long term space decisions. But three
applications were unveiled in her talk which I found interesting. Office
tenants are separating into distinct genres - office first, home first and
hybrid. Firms such as Goldman Sachs have adopted the attitude - you’ll come in
to an office to ply your trade or you won’t. But if you don’t, look for
employment elsewhere. Many of the content creators - Apple, Amazon, Facebook,
Zoom, DropBox eschew the work anywhere mantra. And then you have those - our
firm being one - that allow a mix of in an out. The out is fine so long as
productivity is maintained. Our production is easy to track - you’re either
selling buildings or you aren’t. Ok. Maybe these are old themes. Certainly since
2020. But, home first and hybrids realize that culture, employee attraction and
retention, mentorship, and training all ebb as time away flows. There’s a
concept know as clubhouse which is gaining traction. Addressed are these issues
in a space suited for same. Akin to a ballroom at the Marriott reserved for an
annual meeting - club housing retools space to suit the needs of an
organization.
Michael
DiBernardo answered a burning question I posed in this space a couple of months
hence. Why are there Christmas decorations in Lowe’s in September? The answer
is simply many big box retailers front loaded inventory early in 2022 to avoid
supply chain snags. Faced with warehouses filled with seasonal items -
retailers shipped things like fake Christmas trees to their stores to free up
space. Things at the port of Los Angeles have largely returned to normal with
four to six cargo ships waiting in the unloading queue. At its zenith some 104
waited at anchor. Container costs have also returned to par with a cost of
$2000 vs the $20,000 this time last year. You’ll see some changes in the months
and years to come as the basin edges toward zero emission vehicles by 2030 and
2035.
Gerald
Singh recapped construction topics - cost escalation, and lead times since
March of 2020. Since May of 2020, construction costs have increased 67.7%! A
typical 100,000 industrial box now weighs in at $86.75 per square foot. Before
you race out to build your own - remember land, architectural, engineering,
off-site costs such as storm drains and curbs, on-site costs such drainage plus
carrying expenses must be added. Oh yeah. Don’t forget if you said go today -
you’d be lucky to have a building completed by Q4 of 2024 - largely due to the
city’s entitlement processes and long lead times for construction elements. As
an example, a roof structure requires one year to deliver.
Allen C. Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal with Lee & Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be reached at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104.
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Orange, California 92865
1004 W Taft Ave #150, Orange, CA 92865, USA
Friday, December 16, 2022
Six Lessons My Mom Taught Me About Commercial Real Estate
Mary Collom Buchanan Fore departed this life on Tuesday November 22, 2022. She died peacefully surrounded by family. She was 89. Ironically, the day was the 59th anniversary of a tragic event in our nation’s history - the assassination of President John Fitzgerald Kennedy. Mom was in Dallas the day that happened. The motorcade had passed, she’d waived to Jackie from a downtown department store and returned to shopping with my grandmother when they heard the sirens. Mom always liked the number 11. So it’s no wonder her last day on Earth was 11.22.2022.
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Orange, California 92865
1004 W Taft Ave, Orange, CA 92865, USA
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