As our travels took us to Phoenix, Tucson, and Santa Fe over the past week - I had two colliding thoughts. The beauty of the desert southwest was consuming and our world at this time 16 years ago was consuming as well! Our commercial real estate market was side swiped by the financial crash of 2008! I wondered if the two were somehow related and if lessons could be leaned.
The desert’s number one challenge is scarcity, and in real estate, it’s no different. In boom times, it’s easy to make deals—capital is abundant, credit is flowing, and everyone’s eager to move fast. But what happens when those resources dry up? Think back to the 2008 financial collapse. One moment, liquidity was everywhere; the next, it vanished. Deals died overnight, and only the most prepared, resilient players could weather the storm.
Brokering commercial real estate isn’t just about playing the market—it’s about knowing the environment. The desert has very specific climates, microclimates even, and if you don't understand those differences, you’ll fail. Phoenix, Las Vegas, and Albuquerque might all share the desert’s common traits, but each has its unique challenges and opportunities. What works in Phoenix won’t necessarily work in Las Vegas.
The desert teaches patience. Rain doesn’t come when you expect it; it comes when the environment is ready for it. In commercial real estate, timing is just as critical. Sometimes deals fall apart not because of lack of interest, but because the timing isn’t right—either for the buyer, the seller, or the market itself.
Despite the desert’s harsh conditions, innovation thrives there. Solar farms, sustainable architecture, and water conservation technologies are just some of the breakthroughs we’ve seen over the years. Similarly, commercial real estate is ripe for innovation. The industrial sector is adapting to a post-pandemic world by embracing e-commerce, automation, and green technologies.
The desert may seem like an unforgiving place, but it’s also full of lessons. Adaptability, patience, and resourcefulness are key to surviving—and thriving—in both the desert and in commercial real estate. As the market shifts, those who prepare, understand their environment, and are willing to innovate will be the ones who succeed. So, the next time you're out in the desert Southwest, take a moment to reflect. The landscape might be more like our industry than you’d think.