What Can the Desert Southwest Teach Us About Commercial Real Estate?
As our travels took us to
Phoenix, Tucson, and Santa Fe over the past week - I had two colliding
thoughts. The beauty of the desert southwest was consuming and our world at
this time 16 years ago was consuming as well! Our commercial real estate market
was side swiped by the financial crash of 2008! I wondered if the two were
somehow related and if lessons could be leaned.
So. Here goes.
If you’ve ever spent time in the
desert Southwest—Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico—you know that survival there is
all about adapting to extremes. In the blistering summer, temperatures soar,
and water becomes a precious resource. Yet life persists. Cacti, creosote
bushes, and desert wildlife don’t just endure—they thrive because they’ve
evolved to do so. They’ve learned to make the most out of the environment
they’re in, maximizing every drop of water and adjusting to whatever comes
their way.
Commercial real estate, like
desert life, is a game of adaptation. Whether you’re a seasoned investor, an
owner-occupant, or an industrial broker positioned in today’s dynamic market,
the lessons from the desert are right there in front of us—if we’re willing to
see them.
1.
Resilience in the Face of Scarcity
The desert’s number one challenge
is scarcity, and in real estate, it’s no different. In boom times, it’s easy to
make deals—capital is abundant, credit is flowing, and everyone’s eager to move
fast. But what happens when those resources dry up? Think back to the 2008
financial collapse. One moment, liquidity was everywhere; the next, it
vanished. Deals died overnight, and only the most prepared, resilient players
could weather the storm.
A desert cactus stores water for
months, waiting for the right conditions to use it. As a commercial real estate
professional, this is a reminder to build reserves—whether that’s in capital,
market knowledge, or relationships. Like the cactus, don’t overextend yourself
in good times. Prepare for downturns, and when they inevitably come, you’ll not
just survive—you’ll thrive.
2.
Know Your Environment
Brokering commercial real estate
isn’t just about playing the market—it’s about knowing the environment. The
desert has very specific climates, microclimates even, and if you don't
understand those differences, you’ll fail. Phoenix, Las Vegas, and Albuquerque
might all share the desert’s common traits, but each has its unique challenges
and opportunities. What works in Phoenix won’t necessarily work in Las Vegas.
Likewise, industrial real estate
in Southern California has its nuances. I often remind clients that even though
SoCal is a booming market, the micro-markets of Long Beach, Inland Empire, and
north Orange County, where I worked during the 2008 financial crisis, each
require a tailored approach. Just like a desert traveler checks the conditions
before setting out, commercial real estate practitioners must assess the
specific terrain they’re in. Understanding the local economic, political, and
market conditions can mean the difference between a deal’s success or failure.
3.
Timing is Everything
The desert teaches patience. Rain
doesn’t come when you expect it; it comes when the environment is ready for it.
In commercial real estate, timing is just as critical. Sometimes deals fall
apart not because of lack of interest, but because the timing isn’t
right—either for the buyer, the seller, or the market itself.
I’ve seen this time and time
again in my own experience. Back in 2008, during the height of the financial
collapse, a promising buyer for a large manufacturing site suddenly lost
financing when their Small Business Administration loan commitment disappeared.
The market shifted almost overnight, and we had to wait until the right time to
close a deal at a significantly reduced price. Understanding when to act—and
when to wait—is a skill that separates the seasoned from the amateurs.
4.
Innovation is Key
Despite the desert’s harsh
conditions, innovation thrives there. Solar farms, sustainable architecture,
and water conservation technologies are just some of the breakthroughs we’ve
seen over the years. Similarly, commercial real estate is ripe for innovation.
The industrial sector is adapting to a post-pandemic world by embracing
e-commerce, automation, and green technologies.
Whether you're retrofitting older
properties or designing new industrial spaces, the industry’s future depends on
staying ahead of the curve. Just like innovators in the desert seek new ways to
make life easier and more efficient, those of us in commercial real estate need
to be thinking not just about the present, but about how to create spaces that
will serve the future.
The
Takeaway
The desert may seem like an
unforgiving place, but it’s also full of lessons. Adaptability, patience, and
resourcefulness are key to surviving—and thriving—in both the desert and in
commercial real estate. As the market shifts, those who prepare, understand
their environment, and are willing to innovate will be the ones who succeed.
So, the next time you're out in the desert Southwest, take a moment to reflect.
The landscape might be more like our industry than you’d think.
Allen C.
Buchanan, SIOR, is a principal
with Lee & Associates Commercial Real Estate Services in Orange. He can be
reached at abuchanan@lee-associates.com or 714.564.7104. His website is allencbuchanan.blogspot.com.
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